Elon Musk: SpaceX Stock Jumps 5.8% to $142 Amid $24B Texas Data Center Plan
Photo: Gage Skidmore / Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0

SpaceX Stock Jumps 5.8% to $142 Amid $24B Texas Data Center Plan

SpaceX stock closed at $142.07 on Monday, up 5.81%, as the company applied for a tax abatement on a $24 billion Starbase data center. The governor-elect wants a Boca Chica land transfer paused, and sellers wait at $152 to $156.

Julie "Mooncat" WolfNovember 10, 20263 min read
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Two green days and SPCX is back in the $140s. SpaceX closed at $142.07 on Monday, November 9, up 5.81% for its second straight gain, as the company applied for a property tax abatement on a $24 billion data center project in Starbase, Texas. It edged up another 0.3% overnight heading into Tuesday.

That is the highest close since October 29. Don't hand all the credit to Starbase, though. The Nasdaq 100 rose 3.4% to 27,907 and the S&P 500 gained 2.35% to 7,549 on a tech rebound and falling oil prices, so some of this move was the broader tape.

Post by @spcxGOD on X
@spcxGOD on X

View the post on X

The account @spcxGOD noted in a post on X that the close came 150 days after the IPO and about 5.2% above the IPO price.

The path to $142

It has been a rough week to hold this thing. On November 5, the Nasdaq 100 shed $2.5 trillion in value, one of its worst days on record, and SPCX crashed to $120. It fell as much as 11% on Thursday after Democrats won both chambers of Congress and the Texas governor's race. Then it jumped 8.62% on Friday to close at $134.27, after Elon Musk said government contracts should be under 10% of Q4 revenue.

From that $120 print, $142 is a bounce of roughly 18%. In late October we reported the stock fell 3.38% to $143, so it is now back near where it traded then.

The data center application, first reported by Bloomberg, covers the initial stages of a project to be built in multiple phases. The $24 billion is the estimated capital investment for those stages.

Political friction in Texas

Texas Governor-elect Gina Hinojosa has asked Texas Parks and Wildlife to pause a proposed public-land transfer to SpaceX near Boca Chica, where Starbase operates. She had also pledged a moratorium on new data centers. On the campaign trail, her line was blunt:

"Texas is not for sale."

Gina Hinojosa

Goldman Sachs has warned that the Democratic win threatens US data center expansion, which puts a regulatory question mark over the Starbase build.

Fundamentals

Q3 revenue hit $14.6 billion, up 161% and above the $12.7 billion expected. Net income was $4.4 billion against a $1.1 billion loss a year earlier, though operating income was $2.8 billion. Super Intelligence revenue rose 830% to $7.6 billion, and Starlink connectivity revenue rose 69% to $5.2 billion. Anthropic made up 34.5% of Q3 revenue, about $5 billion. That is a lot of eggs in one customer's basket.

Not everything printed clean. Starlink added 1.6 million consumer subscribers versus 2.29 million expected, and the cost of insuring SpaceX debt hit a new high. Q4 capex guidance is $35-40 billion, and Q1 revenue is guided to $33 billion to $37 billion.

Stifel kept its Buy rating and $190 target, citing $40 billion in committed GPU financing and an investment grade balance sheet. That implies about 34% upside. The average analyst target sits near $254.

What traders should watch

The chart is less friendly than the analysts. A wall of selling sits between $152 and $156, and bears still control the technical indicators, though CMF and RSI are improving. Nvidia-related AI jitters could drag SPCX back toward $135.

Starship Flight 15 is expected later this week. The next share unlock is December 8, with none in November, and the next earnings report is due in early February 2027.

Discussion

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