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Nakamoto Shares Fall After Q3 Operating Revenue Turns Negative

Nakamoto (NAKA) posted negative $1.9M operating revenue in Q3 2026 after a $5.8M loss on Bitcoin options, versus about $17.4M expected. GAAP net income of $85.5M rested on a $110.4M unrealized BTC gain. Shares fell 6% to 7%.

Ibrahim RajabNovember 13, 20262 min read
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A $5.8 million loss on Bitcoin options pushed Nakamoto Inc. (Nasdaq: NAKA) to negative total operating revenue of $1.9 million for the third quarter of 2026. Analysts had expected about $17.4 million in revenue, per estimates compiled by Yahoo Finance. The stock fell roughly 6% to 7% after the results.

Nakamoto reported after the market closed on Thursday, November 12. Revenue from its businesses came to $3.9 million. The options loss wiped it out and then some, according to the quarterly filing.

Paper profit, operating loss

GAAP net income: $85.5 million. Nearly all of it came from a $110.4 million unrealized gain on revaluing digital assets, chiefly Bitcoin. Strip that out and the adjusted operating loss was $15.8 million.

The backdrop was friendly. Bitcoin rose from $58,532 at the end of June to $83,565 at the end of September. Operating revenue still came in below zero.

Nakamoto held 4,283 BTC as of Sept. 30, with a fair value of $357.9 million. That is down from 4,467 BTC at the end of June, a reduction of 184 BTC.

Share price reaction

Reports on the move differ. One shows a 6.5% premarket drop on Friday to $5.40 as of 12:02 pm UTC, leaving the stock about 62% lower year to date. Another reports a 6% to 7% fall and a close at $5.79. The two may describe different points in time.

Market capitalization hovered around $104 million to $106 million after the release. That is less than a third of the stated fair value of the company's Bitcoin.

Debt overhang

Part of the holdings is pledged as collateral for a $165 million loan from Kraken. Nakamoto recently amended that facility, moving a 60 million USDT tranche to Dec. 4, 2027. The full $165 million still comes due in 2027, and the debt exceeds the company's market value.

The company reports three segments: Media and Information Services, Asset Management, and Bitcoin Operations. The filing is on the SEC's EDGAR system.

What it means

The $85.5 million profit is a paper number. It rests on Bitcoin's price and can reverse quickly.

The operating side is thinner. Nakamoto's non-Bitcoin segments are not yet large enough to absorb a bad options trade, and this quarter's $5.8 million loss turned operating revenue negative in a rising market.

Discussion

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